{"id":14095,"date":"2026-07-24T09:21:19","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T08:21:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/duelbits.io/blog\/?p=14095"},"modified":"2026-07-27T09:33:51","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T08:33:51","slug":"arbitrage-betting-calculator","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/duelbits.io/blog\/sportsbook\/arbitrage-betting-calculator\/","title":{"rendered":"Arbitrage &#038; Hedge Bet Calculator"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">\n{\n  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",\n  \"@type\": \"HowTo\",\n  \"name\": \"How to Use the Arbitrage Betting Calculator\",\n  \"description\": \"Step-by-step guide to calculating arbitrage bets and hedge bets using our free tool.\",\n  \"step\": [\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"HowToStep\",\n      \"name\": \"Enter the odds for Outcome 1\",\n      \"text\": \"In the Arbitrage tab, enter the decimal odds available for Outcome 1 at the first sportsbook. For example, if Sportsbook A is offering Team A to win at 2.10, enter 2.10.\"\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"HowToStep\",\n      \"name\": \"Enter the odds for Outcome 2\",\n      \"text\": \"Enter the decimal odds available for Outcome 2 at a different sportsbook. For example, if Sportsbook B is offering Team B to win at 2.15, enter 2.15. Note: you must use different sportsbooks for each outcome \u2014 the same sportsbook will never offer a true arbitrage opportunity across both sides of the same market.\"\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"HowToStep\",\n      \"name\": \"Enter your total stake\",\n      \"text\": \"Enter the total amount you want to invest across both bets. The calculator will split this into two optimal stakes \u2014 one per outcome \u2014 that guarantee the same profit regardless of which side wins.\"\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"HowToStep\",\n      \"name\": \"Read the arb percentage and guaranteed profit\",\n      \"text\": \"The calculator shows your Arb % \u2014 the combined implied probability across both outcomes. Any value below 100% indicates a profitable arbitrage. The lower the Arb %, the higher your guaranteed profit percentage. The results show exactly how much to stake on each outcome and your guaranteed profit amount.\"\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"HowToStep\",\n      \"name\": \"For hedge betting, use the Hedge tab\",\n      \"text\": \"Switch to the Hedge tab, enter your original bet (stake and odds) and the hedge odds available at the second sportsbook. The calculator shows the exact hedge stake needed to guarantee equal profit regardless of which outcome wins, plus the total invested and net profit.\"\n    }\n  ]\n}\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">\n{\n  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",\n  \"@type\": \"FAQPage\",\n  \"mainEntity\": [\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"Question\",\n      \"name\": \"What is arbitrage betting?\",\n      \"acceptedAnswer\": {\n        \"@type\": \"Answer\",\n        \"text\": \"Arbitrage betting (also called arb betting or sure betting) exploits price discrepancies between different sportsbooks to place bets on all possible outcomes of an event and guarantee a profit regardless of the result. When two sportsbooks price the same event differently enough that their combined implied probabilities add up to less than 100%, a profitable arbitrage opportunity exists.\"\n      }\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"Question\",\n      \"name\": \"How do you calculate an arbitrage bet?\",\n      \"acceptedAnswer\": {\n        \"@type\": \"Answer\",\n        \"text\": \"The arbitrage percentage is calculated as: Arb % = (1\/Odds1 + 1\/Odds2) \u00d7 100. If the result is below 100%, a profitable arb exists. The guaranteed profit % = 100 \u2212 Arb %. To calculate stakes: Stake on Outcome 1 = Total stake \u00d7 (1\/Odds1) \u00f7 Arb%; Stake on Outcome 2 = Total stake \u00d7 (1\/Odds2) \u00f7 Arb%.\"\n      }\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"Question\",\n      \"name\": \"What is the difference between arbitrage betting and hedge betting?\",\n      \"acceptedAnswer\": {\n        \"@type\": \"Answer\",\n        \"text\": \"Arbitrage betting is placed before an event begins, using price discrepancies between sportsbooks to guarantee profit from the start. Hedge betting is used after an original bet is already placed \u2014 you place a second bet on the opposing outcome to lock in a profit or reduce your loss. Both use the same mathematical principle but at different stages of the betting process.\"\n      }\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"Question\",\n      \"name\": \"What odds are needed for a profitable arbitrage opportunity?\",\n      \"acceptedAnswer\": {\n        \"@type\": \"Answer\",\n        \"text\": \"A profitable two-way arbitrage exists when the sum of (1\/Odds1 + 1\/Odds2) is less than 1.00 (or less than 100%). For example, Outcome 1 at 2.10 and Outcome 2 at 2.15 gives an Arb % of 94.24%, meaning a 5.76% guaranteed profit on any stake. The bigger the arb %, the smaller the profit margin.\"\n      }\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"Question\",\n      \"name\": \"Do sportsbooks allow arbitrage betting?\",\n      \"acceptedAnswer\": {\n        \"@type\": \"Answer\",\n        \"text\": \"Most traditional sportsbooks actively limit or ban accounts that are identified as consistent arbitrage bettors. Crypto sportsbooks have varying policies. Always check the terms of service of the platforms you're using. Arbitrage opportunities that arise from promotional odds boosts \u2014 such as the regular Super Boosts on Duelbits \u2014 are generally treated differently from systematic arbing across standard markets.\"\n      }\n    },\n    {\n      \"@type\": \"Question\",\n      \"name\": \"What is a three-way arbitrage bet?\",\n      \"acceptedAnswer\": {\n        \"@type\": \"Answer\",\n        \"text\": \"A three-way arbitrage covers all three outcomes of a market that includes a draw \u2014 typically football (soccer) match winner markets. The arb % calculation adds a third implied probability: (1\/Odds1 + 1\/DrawOdds + 1\/Odds2) \u00d7 100. If this total is below 100%, all three outcomes can be backed for a guaranteed profit.\"\n      }\n    }\n  ]\n}\n<\/script>\n\n\n\n<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html lang=\"en\">\n<head>\n<meta charset=\"UTF-8\">\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0\">\n<title>Arbitrage & Hedge Bet Calculator | Duelbits<\/title>\n<style>\n  @import url('https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Inter:wght@400;500;600&display=swap');\n\n  .db-calc *{\n    box-sizing:border-box;\n    margin:0;\n    padding:0;\n    font-family:'proxima-nova','Inter',system-ui,-apple-system,sans-serif;\n  }\n\n  .db-calc{\n    background:#1e2d3b;\n    border-radius:12px;\n    overflow:hidden;\n    max-width:680px;\n    margin:2rem auto;\n  }\n\n  \/* Header *\/\n  .db-calc-head{\n    padding:22px 24px 0;\n  }\n  .db-calc-head h2{\n    font-size:17px;\n    font-weight:600;\n    color:#fff;\n    margin-bottom:4px;\n    letter-spacing:.01em;\n  }\n  .db-calc-head p{\n    font-size:13px;\n    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border-radius:8px;\n    padding:14px 16px;\n    margin-top:14px;\n    font-size:12px;\n    color:#718e98;\n    line-height:1.8;\n  }\n  .db-formula strong{color:#c8d8e0;font-weight:600}\n  .db-formula code{\n    background:rgba(51,193,108,.1);\n    color:#33C16C;\n    border-radius:4px;\n    padding:1px 6px;\n    font-family:ui-monospace,'Cascadia Code',monospace;\n    font-size:11px;\n    letter-spacing:.02em;\n  }\n\n  \/* Note *\/\n  .db-note{\n    font-size:11px;\n    color:#4a6070;\n    margin-top:12px;\n    line-height:1.7;\n  }\n\n  \/* Divider *\/\n  .db-sep{height:1px;background:rgba(255,255,255,.05);margin:16px 0}\n\n  \/* Green highlight on total row *\/\n  .db-row.highlight{background:rgba(51,193,108,.05)}\n  .db-row.highlight .desc{color:#c8d8e0}\n<\/style>\n<\/head>\n<body>\n\n<div class=\"db-calc\">\n  <div class=\"db-calc-head\">\n    <h2>Arbitrage &amp; Hedge Bet Calculator<\/h2>\n    <p>Enter your odds and total stake \u2014 guaranteed profit calculated instantly.<\/p>\n    <div class=\"db-tabs\">\n      <button class=\"db-tab active\" onclick=\"dbShowTab('arb',this)\">Arbitrage calculator<\/button>\n      <button class=\"db-tab\" onclick=\"dbShowTab('hedge',this)\">Hedge bet calculator<\/button>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 ARBITRAGE PANEL \u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div id=\"db-panel-arb\" class=\"db-panel active\">\n    <div class=\"db-grid\">\n      <div class=\"db-field\">\n        <label for=\"db-o1\">Outcome 1 odds (decimal)<\/label>\n        <input type=\"number\" id=\"db-o1\" value=\"2.10\" step=\"0.01\" min=\"1.01\" placeholder=\"e.g. 2.10\" oninput=\"dbArbCalc()\">\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-field\">\n        <label for=\"db-o2\">Outcome 2 odds (decimal)<\/label>\n        <input type=\"number\" id=\"db-o2\" value=\"2.15\" step=\"0.01\" min=\"1.01\" placeholder=\"e.g. 2.15\" oninput=\"dbArbCalc()\">\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-field db-full\">\n        <label for=\"db-stake\">Total stake ($)<\/label>\n        <input type=\"number\" id=\"db-stake\" value=\"100\" step=\"1\" min=\"1\" placeholder=\"e.g. 100\" oninput=\"dbArbCalc()\">\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div id=\"db-badge\" class=\"db-badge neutral\"><span class=\"db-dot\"><\/span><span id=\"db-badge-txt\">Calculating...<\/span><\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"db-results\">\n      <div class=\"db-card\">\n        <div class=\"lbl\">Arb %<\/div>\n        <div class=\"val\" id=\"db-pct\">\u2014<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-card\">\n        <div class=\"lbl\">Profit margin<\/div>\n        <div class=\"val green\" id=\"db-mpct\">\u2014<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-card\">\n        <div class=\"lbl\">Guaranteed profit<\/div>\n        <div class=\"val green\" id=\"db-profit\">\u2014<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"db-breakdown\">\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Stake on Outcome 1<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt\" id=\"db-s1\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Stake on Outcome 2<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt\" id=\"db-s2\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row highlight\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Total staked<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt\" id=\"db-tot\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Return if Outcome 1 wins<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt profit\" id=\"db-r1\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Return if Outcome 2 wins<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt profit\" id=\"db-r2\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"db-formula\">\n      <strong>Formula \u2014<\/strong>\n      Arb % = <code>(1 \u00f7 Odds1 + 1 \u00f7 Odds2) \u00d7 100<\/code>\n      &nbsp;\u00b7&nbsp; Below 100% = profitable opportunity\n      &nbsp;\u00b7&nbsp; Guaranteed profit % = <code>100 \u2212 Arb %<\/code>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <p class=\"db-note\">Decimal odds only. Assumes both bets are placed simultaneously at the exact odds shown. Line movement between placing bets may reduce or eliminate the margin.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 HEDGE PANEL \u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div id=\"db-panel-hedge\" class=\"db-panel\">\n    <div class=\"db-grid\">\n      <div class=\"db-field\">\n        <label for=\"h-stake\">Original stake ($)<\/label>\n        <input type=\"number\" id=\"h-stake\" value=\"50\" step=\"1\" min=\"1\" placeholder=\"e.g. 50\" oninput=\"dbHedgeCalc()\">\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-field\">\n        <label for=\"h-o1\">Original odds (decimal)<\/label>\n        <input type=\"number\" id=\"h-o1\" value=\"3.50\" step=\"0.01\" min=\"1.01\" placeholder=\"e.g. 3.50\" oninput=\"dbHedgeCalc()\">\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-field db-full\">\n        <label for=\"h-o2\">Hedge odds (decimal)<\/label>\n        <input type=\"number\" id=\"h-o2\" value=\"1.55\" step=\"0.01\" min=\"1.01\" placeholder=\"e.g. 1.55\" oninput=\"dbHedgeCalc()\">\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"db-results\">\n      <div class=\"db-card\">\n        <div class=\"lbl\">Hedge stake<\/div>\n        <div class=\"val\" id=\"h-hs\">\u2014<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-card\">\n        <div class=\"lbl\">Total invested<\/div>\n        <div class=\"val\" id=\"h-tot\">\u2014<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-card\">\n        <div class=\"lbl\">Guaranteed profit<\/div>\n        <div class=\"val\" id=\"h-profit\">\u2014<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"db-breakdown\">\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Original bet potential return<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt\" id=\"h-pot\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Hedge stake required<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt\" id=\"h-hs2\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row highlight\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Total invested (original + hedge)<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt\" id=\"h-tot2\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Profit if original bet wins<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt profit\" id=\"h-p1\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Profit if hedge wins<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt profit\" id=\"h-p2\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"db-row\">\n        <span class=\"desc\">Loss if no hedge placed and original loses<\/span>\n        <span class=\"amt loss\" id=\"h-loss\">\u2014<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"db-formula\">\n      <strong>Formula \u2014<\/strong>\n      Hedge stake = <code>(Original stake \u00d7 Original odds) \u00f7 Hedge odds<\/code>\n      &nbsp;\u00b7&nbsp; Guarantees equal profit on both outcomes\n    <\/div>\n\n    <p class=\"db-note\">Use the hedge calculator when you have an existing bet and want to lock in profit or limit exposure by backing the opposing outcome at a second sportsbook.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<script>\n(function(){\n  var f=function(n){return'$'+parseFloat(n).toFixed(2)};\n  var pct=function(n){return parseFloat(n).toFixed(2)+'%'};\n\n  window.dbShowTab=function(id,btn){\n    document.querySelectorAll('.db-tab').forEach(function(t){t.classList.remove('active')});\n    document.querySelectorAll('.db-panel').forEach(function(p){p.classList.remove('active')});\n    btn.classList.add('active');\n    document.getElementById('db-panel-'+id).classList.add('active');\n  };\n\n  window.dbArbCalc=function(){\n    var o1=parseFloat(document.getElementById('db-o1').value);\n    var o2=parseFloat(document.getElementById('db-o2').value);\n    var total=parseFloat(document.getElementById('db-stake').value);\n    if(isNaN(o1)||isNaN(o2)||isNaN(total)||o1<=1||o2<=1||total<=0)return;\n\n    var imp1=1\/o1,imp2=1\/o2,denom=imp1+imp2;\n    var arbPct=denom*100;\n    var isArb=arbPct<100;\n    var profitPct=100-arbPct;\n    var s1=total*(imp1\/denom);\n    var s2=total*(imp2\/denom);\n    var r1=s1*o1;\n    var r2=s2*o2;\n    var profit=r1-total;\n\n    var badge=document.getElementById('db-badge');\n    var btxt=document.getElementById('db-badge-txt');\n    if(isArb){\n      btxt.textContent='Arbitrage found \u2014 '+pct(profitPct)+' guaranteed margin';\n      badge.className='db-badge yes';\n    } else {\n      btxt.textContent='No arbitrage \u2014 implied probability '+pct(arbPct)+' exceeds 100%';\n      badge.className='db-badge no';\n    }\n\n    var pEl=document.getElementById('db-pct');\n    pEl.textContent=pct(arbPct);\n    pEl.className='val '+(isArb?'green':'red');\n\n    document.getElementById('db-mpct').textContent=isArb?pct(profitPct):'0.00%';\n    document.getElementById('db-mpct').className='val '+(isArb?'green':'red');\n    document.getElementById('db-profit').textContent=isArb?f(profit):'$0.00';\n    document.getElementById('db-profit').className='val '+(isArb?'green':'red');\n    document.getElementById('db-s1').textContent=f(s1);\n    document.getElementById('db-s2').textContent=f(s2);\n    document.getElementById('db-tot').textContent=f(s1+s2);\n    document.getElementById('db-r1').textContent=f(r1)+(isArb?' (+'+f(profit)+')':'');\n    document.getElementById('db-r2').textContent=f(r2)+(isArb?' (+'+f(r2-total)+')':'');\n  };\n\n  window.dbHedgeCalc=function(){\n    var stake=parseFloat(document.getElementById('h-stake').value);\n    var o1=parseFloat(document.getElementById('h-o1').value);\n    var o2=parseFloat(document.getElementById('h-o2').value);\n    if(isNaN(stake)||isNaN(o1)||isNaN(o2)||o1<=1||o2<=1||stake<=0)return;\n\n    var potential=stake*o1;\n    var hStake=potential\/o2;\n    var totalInvested=stake+hStake;\n    var p1=potential-totalInvested;\n    var p2=(hStake*o2)-totalInvested;\n    var isProfit=p1>0;\n\n    document.getElementById('h-hs').textContent=f(hStake);\n    document.getElementById('h-hs2').textContent=f(hStake);\n    document.getElementById('h-tot').textContent=f(totalInvested);\n    document.getElementById('h-tot2').textContent=f(totalInvested);\n    document.getElementById('h-pot').textContent=f(potential);\n\n    var profEl=document.getElementById('h-profit');\n    profEl.textContent=f(p1);\n    profEl.className='val '+(isProfit?'green':'red');\n\n    var p1El=document.getElementById('h-p1');\n    p1El.textContent=f(p1);\n    p1El.className='amt '+(p1>=0?'profit':'loss');\n\n    var p2El=document.getElementById('h-p2');\n    p2El.textContent=f(p2);\n    p2El.className='amt '+(p2>=0?'profit':'loss');\n\n    document.getElementById('h-loss').textContent=f(-stake);\n  };\n\n  dbArbCalc();\n  dbHedgeCalc();\n})();\n<\/script>\n\n<\/body>\n<\/html>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The calculator above handles the maths in real time. This guide explains the mechanics behind it, what arbitrage betting actually is, how to find opportunities, how to hedge an existing bet, and the risks and limitations every bettor should understand before relying on guaranteed-profit strategies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-what-is-arbitrage-betting\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Is Arbitrage Betting?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Arbitrage betting, also called arb betting, sure betting, or miracle betting, exploits price differences between sportsbooks to back all possible outcomes of an event and lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is not a trick or a loophole. It is a mathematical consequence of the fact that different sportsbooks set their own prices independently, and those prices occasionally diverge enough that their combined implied probabilities add up to less than 100%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When that happens, a profitable arbitrage exists. You split your total stake across both outcomes in the right proportions, and every possible result pays you more than your total investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Example:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sportsbook A: Team A to win at <strong>2.10<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sportsbook B: Team B to win at <strong>2.15<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Implied probability: (1\/2.10) + (1\/2.15) = 0.476 + 0.465 = <strong>0.941 = 94.1%<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Arb percentage: <strong>94.1%<\/strong> - below 100%, so this is a profitable opportunity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Guaranteed margin: <strong>5.9%<\/strong> on every dollar staked<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On a $100 total stake, that's $5.90 in guaranteed profit regardless of which team wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-the-arbitrage-formula\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Arbitrage Formula<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-step-1-calculate-the-arb-percentage\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Step 1: Calculate the Arb Percentage<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Arb % = (1 \u00f7 Odds1 + 1 \u00f7 Odds2) \u00d7 100<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Below 100%: profitable arbitrage exists<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Exactly 100%: break-even (no profit, no loss)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Above 100%: not an arbitrage, the combined overround favours the bookmakers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-step-2-calculate-the-guaranteed-profit\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Step 2: Calculate the Guaranteed Profit %<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Profit % = 100 \u2212 Arb %<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-step-3-calculate-each-outcome-stake\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Step 3: Calculate Each Outcome Stake<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To guarantee equal return (and equal profit) on both outcomes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stake on Outcome 1 = Total stake \u00d7 (1 \u00f7 Odds1) \u00f7 (Arb % \u00f7 100)<br>Stake on Outcome 2 = Total stake \u00d7 (1 \u00f7 Odds2) \u00f7 (Arb % \u00f7 100)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The calculator above does all of this automatically, enter your odds and total stake, and it splits everything for you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"h-three-way-arbitrage-football-soccer\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Three-Way Arbitrage (Football \/ Soccer)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For markets with three possible outcomes (home win, draw, away win), the formula adds a third implied probability:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Arb % = (1 \u00f7 Odds1 + 1 \u00f7 DrawOdds + 1 \u00f7 Odds2) \u00d7 100<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Three-way arbitrage opportunities are rarer than two-way because you need three prices across three sportsbooks to all diverge simultaneously. When they do occur, the profit margins tend to be smaller. The staking formula works identically, divide your total stake across three positions proportional to each outcome's implied probability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-hedge-betting\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hedge Betting<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hedge betting is the sister strategy of arbitrage, same maths, different timeline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With arbitrage, you place both bets simultaneously before the event begins. With hedge betting, you've already placed an original bet and now want to guarantee a profit (or reduce a loss) by placing a second bet on the opposing outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>When to hedge:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Your original bet is winning in-play and you want to lock in profit without waiting for the final result<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pre-event odds have moved significantly since you placed your original bet, creating a new opportunity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>You placed a long-odds accumulator and it's come through all legs except the last one, hedging on the final leg can guarantee a profit regardless of the outcome<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The hedge formula:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hedge stake = (Original stake \u00d7 Original odds) \u00f7 Hedge odds<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This calculates the precise amount to bet on the opposing outcome so that your total return is identical whether your original bet wins or the hedge wins.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Example:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Original bet: $50 at odds of 3.50 (potential return: $175)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hedge odds available: 1.55<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hedge stake = (50 \u00d7 3.50) \u00f7 1.55 = $112.90<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Total invested: $162.90<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If original wins: $175 \u2212 $162.90 = <strong>$12.10 profit<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>If hedge wins: ($112.90 \u00d7 1.55) \u2212 $162.90 = <strong>$12.09 profit<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Either way, profit is locked<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Hedge tab in the calculator above handles this instantly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-how-to-find-arbitrage-opportunities\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to Find Arbitrage Opportunities<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Arbitrage opportunities emerge and disappear in minutes. Most serious arb bettors use dedicated software that monitors hundreds of sportsbooks simultaneously and alerts them when a profitable discrepancy appears.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Manual method:<\/strong> Compare the same market across multiple sportsbooks. Focus on two-way markets (no draw option) to reduce complexity. Use the calculator to check whether the combined implied probability falls below 100%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Where arbs most commonly appear:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>At market opening, before sportsbooks have updated each other's prices<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>After sharp money moves one side and the original book is slow to react<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>During live in-play events where prices shift rapidly and inconsistently<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>On odds boosts and promotions, when a sportsbook boosts a specific selection, the boosted price may create an arb against another book's standard line<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Odds boosts as arb opportunities:<\/strong> Regular Super Boost promotions on specific selections, like the Mbapp\u00e9\/Messi\/Haaland Shot on Target boost that moved from 1.50 to 3.00, can occasionally create arb-able windows against other markets or platforms if the boosted price is sufficiently above the market consensus. Always use the calculator to verify.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-key-risks-and-limitations\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Key Risks and Limitations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Account restrictions<\/strong>: Traditional sportsbooks actively identify and limit accounts that consistently arb. Low bet amounts, round numbers on different books, and placing maximum stake on every arb are all triggers. <a href=\"https:\/\/duelbits.com\/en\">Crypto sportsbooks<\/a> have varying policies, check the terms before relying on arbitrage as a primary strategy.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Line movement<\/strong>: Odds change constantly. Between seeing an arb and placing both bets, one or both prices may have moved. Larger total stakes take longer to place, more time for lines to shift.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Void bets<\/strong>: If one leg of your arbitrage is voided (due to an abandoned event, a player not starting, or settlement rules), the guaranteed profit disappears. One leg settles, the other doesn't, you're left with a one-sided position.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Withdrawal limits and processing times<\/strong>: To complete an arbitrage, you need funded accounts at multiple sportsbooks simultaneously. Withdrawal delays between balances can prevent you from capitalising on opportunities when your funds are tied up.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Margin size<\/strong>: Most arbitrage opportunities offer very small guaranteed profit margins, typically 1-5%. To generate meaningful returns, you need large stake sizes. This magnifies the other risks above.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For more on how sports betting markets work and where value appears, see our <a href=\"https:\/\/duelbits.com\/blog\/guide\/how-to-bet-on-soccer\/\">how to bet on soccer guide<\/a> and our <a href=\"https:\/\/duelbits.com\/blog\/guide\/what-is-kelly-criterion-betting-strategy\/\">Kelly Criterion staking guide<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"h-frequently-asked-questions\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Frequently Asked Questions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What is arbitrage betting?<\/strong> Exploiting price discrepancies between sportsbooks to back all outcomes of an event for a guaranteed profit. Possible when the combined implied probability across all outcomes falls below 100%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>How do I calculate an arb bet?<\/strong> Arb % = (1\/Odds1 + 1\/Odds2) \u00d7 100. Below 100% = profitable opportunity. Use the calculator above to split your stake automatically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What is the difference between arbitrage and hedging?<\/strong> Arbing places both bets simultaneously before the event. Hedging places a second bet after an original bet is already active, to lock in profit or reduce loss as the event approaches or unfolds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Do sportsbooks allow arbitrage betting?<\/strong> Traditional sportsbooks frequently limit arb accounts. Crypto sportsbooks have varying policies. Always check terms of service. Promotional boosts are generally treated differently from systematic arbing of standard markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What is a three-way arb?<\/strong> Arbitrage covering all three outcomes in a market with a draw option (e.g. football match winner). Arb % = (1\/Odds1 + 1\/DrawOdds + 1\/Odds2) \u00d7 100. Below 100% = profitable. Rarer than two-way arbs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Why do arb opportunities disappear so quickly?<\/strong> Sportsbooks monitor each other's prices constantly and adjust rapidly when a discrepancy appears. Most opportunities last seconds to minutes, dedicated arb software is typically required to catch them consistently.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arbitrage betting exploits price discrepancies between sportsbooks to guarantee a profit regardless of the result. Our free calculator does the maths instantly, enter the odds for both outcomes and your total stake, and it tells you exactly how much to bet on each side and what your guaranteed profit is.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":217840023,"featured_media":14096,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"{title}\n\n{excerpt}\n\n{url}","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[688637382],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14095","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sportsbook"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.9 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hedge Bet Calculator - Free Arbitrage Betting Tool<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Free hedge bet calculator enter your original bet and current odds to see the exact hedge amount for a guaranteed profit.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/duelbits.com\/blog\/sportsbook\/arbitrage-betting-calculator\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Arbitrage &amp; 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