The 2026 Champions League semi-finals have already delivered one of the all-time great European nights, PSG and Bayern Munich producing a nine-goal thriller that finished 5-4 in Paris. Now come the second legs, and both ties are beautifully poised for drama.
The UEFA Champions League finalists will be confirmed when Bayern Munich host PSG and Arsenal entertain Atlético Madrid this week. PSG and Bayern played out an instant classic in the first leg with PSG holding on for a 5-4 victory after leading 5-2, while Arsenal and Atlético are delicately poised following their 1-1 draw in the Spanish capital.
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Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change.
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| Tie | First Leg Result | Aggregate | Second Leg | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid | Arsenal 1-1 Atlético | Level | Emirates Stadium, London | Tue 6 May |
| Bayern Munich vs PSG | PSG 5-4 Bayern | PSG lead 5-4 | Allianz Arena, Munich | Wed 7 May |
No away goals rule applies. Ties level after 90 minutes go to extra time, then penalties if required.
Available now in the PREDICT section on Duelbits:
UCL Semi-Finals 2nd Leg Predictions (total goals across both second legs)
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 7.5 Goals | 2.10 |
| Under 7.5 Goals | 1.73 |
| Over 20.5 Corners | 1.91 |
UCL Semi-Finals 2nd Legs - Highest Scoring Team?
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 1.91 |
| PSG | 4.00 |
| Arsenal | 4.00 |
UCL Semi-Finals 2nd Legs - Highest Scoring Match?
| Match | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bayern Munich vs PSG | 1.25 |
| Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid | 3.50 |
UCL Semi-Finals - Extra Time and Penalties Predictions
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| 1 or more ties to go to extra time | 2.25 |
| Neither tie to go to extra time | 1.67 |
| 1 or more ties to go to penalties | 3.75 |
Emirates Stadium, London | 21:00 CET Aggregate: Level 1-1
| Arsenal | Draw | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 3.95 | 5.35 |
💰 2UP - Early Payout: If Arsenal go 2 goals ahead at any point, your bet is paid out as a winner immediately.
| Arsenal | Draw | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 3.70 | 4.65 |
To Qualify:
| Arsenal | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|
| 1.32 | 3.45 |
Atletico have been outliers in terms of both corner strategy and corner effectiveness. Both teams wasted solid scoring chances, but overall, Atletico were far more efficient in the finishing department. The 1-1 at the Metropolitano was a tightly contested tie where Arsenal had the better of the statistical picture without translating it into a winning position.
Arsenal are given a 76.14% chance of edging out Atlético Madrid in the second leg to punch their tickets to Budapest.
A win sends them through. A draw takes the tie to extra time and potentially penalties. Any Atlético win sends Simeone's side to Budapest.
The head says Arsenal have been the most consistently excellent team in Europe all season. They've given up just 38 goals in 54 matches in all competitions. They lead the Premier League by six points, and they've outscored opponents 27-5 in 12 unbeaten Champions League matches. They've beaten many teams better than Atletico Madrid this season, and pummeled Atleti, 4-0, last October.
The Emirates is the fortress this tie needs to unlock. Arsenal's home Champions League record under Arteta is exceptional, and Viktor Gyökeres, who has been their attacking focal point all season, has the chance to write himself into the club's history with a first-ever European final in 20 years.
Bukayo Saka is finally back in the squad and could prove decisive. His return brings a much-needed spark of individuality to Mikel Arteta's side.
Atletico's counterattacks produced both dangerous chances and red cards across their two-legged tie against Barcelona, it was all just enough to survive 180 minutes against Spain's best overall team. Atlético simply need to avoid losing and they're in the final, which for Simeone's defensive structure is a manageable brief at the Emirates.
Atlético have reached three previous Champions League finals and lost all three under Simeone, but crucially, their semi-final tormentors in previous years have always been Real Madrid. With Real Madrid eliminated by Bayern, that historical bogey man is gone.
Arsenal at the Emirates, having watched PSG win 5-4 in Paris, will feel the weight of this occasion, and the opportunity. The analysis strongly backs Arsenal to secure a home victory and progress to their first final in 20 years, given their unbeaten run and solid home record.
Pick: Arsenal to win the match and qualify. The To Qualify market at 1.32 is the most efficient expression of this view across 210 minutes of football.
Best value bet: Arsenal to win at 1.64 - their underlying performance data and the Emirates atmosphere make this the pick of the night.
Allianz Arena, Munich | 21:00 CET Aggregate: PSG lead 5-4
| Bayern Munich | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 4.95 | 3.90 |
💰 2UP - Early Payout: If Bayern go 2 goals ahead at any point, your bet is paid out as a winner immediately.
| Bayern Munich | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 1.54 | 4.55 | 3.10 |
🔥 Super Boost: Either Harry Kane Or Ousmane Dembélé To Score 1st - 2.50 5.00
To Qualify:
| Bayern Munich | PSG |
|---|---|
| 1.93 | 1.88 |
Bayern's high risk was eventually (and narrowly) rewarded, after a nine-match winless run, they scored their first wins over Real Madrid since 2012. Now comes an even stiffer test against the defending champions. PSG secured a breathless 5-4 victory after leading 5-2. Seven different goalscorers found the back of the net in an end-to-end classic.
PSG are rated at 60.95% to come out on top against Bayern, who only have a 39.05% chance of completing what would be a legendary comeback at the Allianz Arena.
A 2-0 win or better advances Bayern automatically. A 1-0 win sends the tie to extra time. Any other result, including a draw, sends PSG through. PSG simply need not to lose by two or more goals.
Bayern have gone unbeaten in 28 of their last 29 Champions League home games, winning 23, including all six this season and scoring exactly four goals in both knockout fixtures. Bayern have won five of the last six meetings between the teams, with the first leg defeat snapping the streak. Bayern have won 14 of their last 17 games against French opposition.
Harry Kane has scored 53 goals this season. He doesn't need an introduction for a Champions League home semi-final with everything on the line. Kane's 53 goals are a sign of a man who won't be denied a chance at winning the Champions League, having only previously appeared in one final during his time with Tottenham.
The Super Boost - Either Harry Kane Or Ousmane Dembélé To Score 1st at 5.00, is the standout market of the week. Two of Europe's most prolific scorers in a match where both teams desperately need goals. At double the original price, this is an exceptional value play.
PSG have won just four of their last 12 games against German sides, but they don't need to win this one. A single away goal, or even holding Bayern to a 1-0 loss, sends the defending champions to Budapest. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has scored seven goals in his last six Champions League appearances and bagged himself a double in the first leg.
PSG's counter-attacking threat, Kvaratskhelia, Dembélé, Barcola, is one of the most lethal transitions in Europe. A Bayern team pushing forward in search of two goals is exactly the defensive situation that PSG have demolished all season.
The market reflects the coin-flip nature of this tie with Bayern 1.69 to win the match and To Qualify prices essentially identical (1.93 vs 1.88). You'd be a brave man to bet against Bayern at the Allianz. But the task is enormous, needing to score at least twice against the Champions League's best defence without conceding.
Pick: Bayern to win the match, but narrow lean to PSG to qualify on aggregate. The To Qualify market is the purest expression of this view.
Best value bet: 🔥 Super Boost: Either Harry Kane Or Ousmane Dembélé To Score 1st at 5.00. In a match guaranteed to produce goals from both sides, one of these two elite scorers opening the match at 5.00 is the outstanding bet of both second legs.
| Match | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal vs Atlético | Arsenal to win | 1.64 |
| Arsenal vs Atlético | Arsenal to qualify | 1.32 |
| Bayern vs PSG | Super Boost: Kane Or Dembélé 1st Scorer | 5.00 |
| Bayern vs PSG | Bayern to win match | 1.69 |
| PREDICT | Bayern Munich vs PSG Highest Scoring Match | 1.25 |
| PREDICT | Over 7.5 Total Goals (both 2nd legs) | 2.10 |
Don't forget to activate the Bet $20 Get $10 Free Bet promotion in My Rewards before placing your selections. Both matches must be from the UCL Semi-Finals Leg 2 and placed at minimum odds of 1.50.
Bet on all second-leg markets at Duelbits Sportsbook.
Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. Check Duelbits Sportsbook for live prices.
When are the Champions League semi-final second legs in 2026? Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid, Tuesday 6 May, Emirates Stadium, 21:00 CET. Bayern Munich vs PSG, Wednesday 7 May, Allianz Arena, 21:00 CET.
What are the aggregate scores going into the second legs? Arsenal and Atlético are level 1-1. PSG lead Bayern 5-4 after a stunning nine-goal first leg in Paris.
What does Bayern need to beat PSG? Bayern must win by two or more goals to advance automatically. A 1-0 win sends the tie to extra time. Any draw or PSG goal qualifies the defending champions.
What does Arsenal need to beat Atlético? A win sends Arsenal through. A draw takes the tie to extra time. An Atlético win advances Simeone's side to Budapest.
Is there a Duelbits promotion for the UCL second legs? Yes. Activate in My Rewards, wager $20+ on UCL Semifinals Leg 2 at minimum odds of 1.50, and receive a $10 free bet for any sport automatically credited to your account.
What is the Super Boost on Bayern vs PSG? Either Harry Kane Or Ousmane Dembélé To Score 1st, boosted from 2.50 to 5.00. Kane has 53 goals this season; Dembélé scored twice in the first leg.
Where is the 2026 Champions League final? The 2026 UCL final takes place Saturday 31 May at the Puskás Aréna in Budapest, Hungary.
Where can I bet on the UCL semi-final second legs? All markets are live on Duelbits Sportsbook, match winner, 2UP Early Payout, To Qualify, Goals, Goalscorers, PREDICT novelty markets, and the Super Boost on Bayern vs PSG.
Claim a $2 Cash Reward - no strings attached.
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Bonus Code: UCLLEG2
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