Welcome to this week's PREDICT picks, where we break down the most exciting prediction markets available on Duelbits Predict. Wednesday brings the Europa League final in Istanbul, Freiburg face Aston Villa at Beşiktaş Park, with first-time continental finalists meeting the 1982 European Cup winners. Unai Emery is chasing a record-extending fifth Europa League title, while Freiburg have never won a major trophy.
The Iran situation continues to deteriorate. Trump called the ceasefire on "massive life support" after rejecting Iran's latest proposal as "totally unacceptable", and three US destroyers survived an Iranian missile attack while transiting the Strait of Hormuz on May 7. New markets on Iran's airspace closure have shortened dramatically. Drake's "Iceman" album drops this week. And the Champions League final countdown begins, Arsenal vs PSG in Budapest on May 30.
Villa are in their first UEFA final since winning the European Cup in 1982 and are seeking a first major trophy since the 1996 League Cup. The biggest question mark is the fitness of Amadou Onana, who hasn't featured since limping off with a calf problem in the semi-final first leg.
PREDICT has launched an extraordinary range of micro-markets for this final:
First shot on target in the match? - Aston Villa: 1.65 / Freiburg: 2.25
First foul committed? - Freiburg: 1.85 / Aston Villa: 2.00
What happens first? - Throw-in: 1.50 / Free kick: 3.50 / Goal kick: 8.00 / Corner: 17.00
11+ fouls each half? - Yes: 1.85 / No: 2.00
4+ shots on target each half? - Yes: 2.00 / No: 1.85
Referee check VAR monitor? - Yes: 2.50 / No: 1.50
Opening kick-off? - Freiburg: 1.95 / Aston Villa: 1.95
Outcome of first shot? - Off target: 2.10 / Block: 3.75 / Goalkeeper save: 4.50 / Goal: 8.00
First shot on target - Aston Villa? - Tammy Abraham: 4.00 / Ollie Watkins: 4.00 / Jadon Sancho: 5.00 / Morgan Rogers: 5.00
First shot on target - Freiburg? - Igor Matanović: 3.80 / Yuito Suzuki: 5.00 / Lucas Höler: 5.50
Will Amadou Onana start? - Yes: 3.00 / No: 1.40
Will Viktor Lindelöf start? - Yes: 1.20 / No: 4.00
Will Douglas Luiz start? - Yes: 3.50 / No: 1.30
Unai Emery to be carded? - Yes: 5.00
For match odds and in-play betting, check out Duelbits Sportsbook.
Trump has grown impatient with the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz and what he perceives as division in Iranian leadership. Iran's proposal demands the US end its blockade and lift sanctions before any nuclear discussions, a non-starter for Washington, which wants at least a 10-year halt to Iran's nuclear programme and handover of its estimated 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium.
Market: Iran closes its airspace by…?
This is one of the most alarming markets on the platform. An Iranian airspace closure would signal imminent escalation, either an Iranian military response or a prelude to resumed US bombing.
US x Iran peace deal by…? - May 31: 11.00 / June 15: 3.75 / June 30: 2.60 / July 31: 2.80 / December 31: 1.57
Where will next US-Iran meeting happen? - Pakistan: 2.25 / No meeting by June 30: 2.00
Trump announces Hormuz blockade lifted by…? - May 31: 5.50 / June 30: 2.50
Hormuz traffic normal by…? - Before July 1: 4.00 / Before August 1: 2.75
US invade Iran before 2027? - Yes: 3.25 / No: 1.36
WTI year-end high? - $150+: 3.00 / $200+: 6.00
Market: Drake "Iceman" first-week album sales?
The 450K-500K bracket is the strong favourite at 2.00. After the Kendrick Lamar feud fallout, this album is a critical test of Drake's commercial staying power.
Market: Eleven All Stars - match result?
Total goals? - Over 4.5: 1.83 / Under 4.5: 1.83
Penalty shootout? - France win on pens: 9.00 / England win on pens: 9.00
Market: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by…?
A new and significant market. With BTC under sustained pressure from the Iran crisis, the possibility of MicroStrategy liquidating positions has entered the conversation.
Bitcoin cross $100K? - Before July: 15.00 / Before October: 3.75 / Before January 2027: 2.38
Bitcoin fall below $60K? - Yes: 1.57 / No: 2.25
Bitcoin outperform Gold? - Yes: 2.38 / No: 1.57
Fed rate cuts? - Exactly 0: 1.73. Zero cuts remains the decisive favourite.
US recession? - Yes: 4.50 / No: 1.20
Elon Musk trillionaire? - Yes: 1.27 / No: 3.75
PFA Player of the Year? - Bruno Fernandes: 1.30 / Declan Rice: 3.25. Fernandes is now overwhelming favourite.
Bruno Fernandes break assists record? - Yes: 1.33 / No: 3.25
Ballon d'Or 2026? - Dembélé: 4.50 / Kane: 5.00 / Rice: 8.00
Next Man City manager? - Maresca: 1.60
Next Liverpool manager? - Xabi Alonso: 3.00 / Luis Enrique: 5.00
Keir Starmer out? - Before July 1: 1.90 / Before September 1: 1.12. Starmer's departure by summer looks near-certain.
Harvey Weinstein prison time? - No Prison Time: 1.12. A dramatic shift, acquittal or mistrial now heavily favoured.
Hantavirus PHEIC? - Yes: 6.00 / No: 1.14
Gemini 3.5 released by…? - May 31: 1.18. Near-certain this month.
GTA VI Game of the Year? - Yes: 1.50
Next James Bond? - Callum Turner: 2.00 / Jacob Elordi: 3.50
Taylor Swift & Kelce married? - Yes: 1.40 / No: 2.75
2028 Presidential Election? - Rubio: 4.50 / Vance: 5.00 / Newsom: 5.50
That's your complete rundown for the week of May 19-26, 2026. Wednesday's Europa League final in Istanbul is the centrepiece, Emery chasing a fifth title, Freiburg chasing history. The Iran airspace closure market is flashing red as Trump loses patience with negotiations. And in ten days, Arsenal meet PSG in Budapest for the Champions League trophy. From the Bosphorus to the Strait of Hormuz, Duelbits PREDICT has a market for everything. Head over and make your picks before the action unfolds.
